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TOP OF THE MORNING!

Welcome to The Bay Street Brief!

It’s a short one this week. The government wants to tear up the 70-year-old deal that lets a private company run Freeport, and the Port Authority isn’t going quietly.

Let's get into it.

IN THE MARKETS

Global markets
Asset / Index Last price / Weekly change % YTD return
BISX All-Share
Bahamas 🇧🇸
3,290.7
-1.2%
▲ 5.8%
S&P 500
US equities 🇺🇸
7,623.7
-0.5%
▲ 11.4%
Euro Stoxx 600
European equities 🇪🇺
635.8
-1.4%
▲ 7.4%
Brent Crude
Oil per barrel 🛢️
$116.72
+6.2%
▲ 91.8%
Gold
Per oz 🥇
$3,993.96
-4.1%
▼ -7.5%
Bitcoin
Crypto ₿
$81,337.60
-0.4%
▼ -7.2%
Nikkei 225
Japan equities 🇯🇵
62,693.2
-4.0%
▲ 24.5%
Hang Seng
Hong Kong equities 🇭🇰
23,093.4
-4.5%
▼ -9.9%
MSCI Emerging Markets
Developing economies 🌎
1,578.0
-2.6%
▲ 12.4%

Big tech had another wobbly week. The S&P 500 slipped 0.5% and the Nasdaq lost 0.7% on fresh worries about who's paying for all that AI spending, while smaller companies bucked the trend (the Russell 2000 rose 2.0%).

Oil stole the show. Brent crude jumped 6.2% to $116.72 after tankers were hit in the Strait of Hormuz, and it's now up about 92% this year. Gold slid 4.1%, dipping below $4,000. Why it matters here: we import nearly everything, so $116 oil shows up at the pump, on the light bill and in freight costs heading into Christmas.

Europe and Asia had it worse. The STOXX 600 fell 1.4% as France's cost-of-living riots rattled investors, while Japan's Nikkei dropped 4.0% and Hong Kong's Hang Seng sank 4.5% on the same AI money jitters.

Local markets
The Leaders
Company Last price / Weekly change % YTD return 52-week range
AML
AML Foods Limited
$12.50
+8.7%
▲ +88.0%
$6.55$12.50
FAM
Family Guardian
$10.50
No change
▲ +54.4%
$6.80$10.50
CHL
Colina Holdings
$19.50
No change
▲ +32.7%
$14.10$19.50
The Slackers
Company Last price / Weekly change % YTD return 52-week range
FBB
Fidelity Bank Bahamas
$12.18
No change
▼ -25.0%
$12.00$16.27
CWCB
Consolidated Water
$5.56
-1.6%
▼ -21.2%
$5.50$6.90
DHS
Doctors Hospital
$4.38
-9.9%
▼ -15.6%
$4.38$5.19

A softer week on Bay Street, with the BISX All-Share slipping 1.2% to 3,290.71 (still up 5.8% for the year). AML Foods was the star again, jumping 8.7% to a fresh 52-week high of $12.50 and stretching its 2026 gain to 88.0%. Bank of the Bahamas (BOB) fell 9.4% to $7.44 and slid off the podium, letting Colina Holdings take third. Doctors Hospital (DHS) dropped 9.9% to $4.38, its 52-week low, and joins the Slackers, while Fidelity Bank Bahamas (FBB) still holds down the bottom spot at -25.0%.

THE MAIN THING

Terms And Conditions Apply

For 71 years, a private company has licensed businesses, controlled building and planned land use in Freeport. That’s the 1955 Hawksbill Creek Agreement (HCA), and it runs until 2054. Prime Minister Davis wants to revisit it much sooner, and possibly repeal it.

Why now? Freeport has struggled for decades, and the Government has been taking on what used to sit elsewhere: the airport, Grand Bahama Power and the Grand Lucayan site. It also lost an arbitration earlier this year, when a tribunal dismissed its $357m claim against the Port Authority.

Last week at the Grand Bahama Shipyard, Davis called it a “fork in the road” and unveiled a green paper, a draft for public discussion. It proposes a review and possible repeal of the HCA, a Grand Bahama Development Council, and a Development Act with concessions across the whole island, not just Freeport. “My argument concerns a structure,” he said, adding that he respects the families who own the Port Authority.

Consultation runs Nov. 1 to April 30. A white paper is targeted for July 2027, draft legislation by December, and passage in early 2028. Davis says changes will go through Parliament, nothing will be retroactive, and licensees’ lawful rights will be respected.

The pushback

The Grand Bahama Port Authority says its rights “must be respected” and can only change by agreement. Former Chamber president Dillon Knowles calls repeal “catastrophic” and says the reforms can happen under the existing agreement. U.S. Ambassador Herschel Walker read the plan “with real concern,” warning it tells investors “the rules can change after you have already made the investment.”

Opposition Leader Michael Pintard agrees Grand Bahama shouldn’t keep bearing governance that isn’t accountable to residents, but doubts the Government will deliver on long-promised projects.

Both sides say Freeport needs modernising. The argument is over what happens to the old rules.

Under the HCA, tax breaks are written into law. Knowles argues a new regime would turn them into concessions investors have to apply for. The green paper says rates, duration and conditions depend on consultation, with concessions tied to Bahamian jobs, training and local suppliers.

Is a tax break a legal right, or something you apply for?

The bottom line

The Government says Freeport’s structure is out of balance. The Port Authority says the rules shouldn’t change without its agreement. The Opposition agrees there’s a problem and doubts the fix. And if the timeline holds, “who runs Freeport” isn’t settled until 2028.

WEEKLY QUIZ

Solve this dead easy Bahamian history question:

In 1843, Nassau was made the distributing point for what?

A) West Indian mail
B) British naval supplies
C) Caribbean sugar exports
D) Colonial tax revenues

Check the bottom of the newsletter for the answer.

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CONCH FRITTERS

From Over Here

💰 The Government has priced a $1.1bn, 13-year bond at 7.7%, about half a point below last year’s 8.25% deal, with demand peaking at 3.2 times the amount on offer, per the Ministry of Finance. Proceeds go toward about $332m of Grand Bahama Power-related debt and a buyback of existing bonds.

🌿 A University of The Bahamas study found cadmium, a toxic metal linked to cancer, in East Grand Bahama mangrove sediments, averaging 442.58 mg/kg versus 24.64 in Dover Sound. MP Kwasi Thompson wants funded testing to find the source. The Environment Minister calls the report “inconclusive” and says independent verification is coming.

🏝️ Treasure Cay’s sale is nearly done, with Bahamas Investment Authority director Phylicia Woods-Hanna saying it’s “well on the way,” permits are issued and closing is expected this month. Buyer GreenPointe plans a $177m redevelopment, including a 163-slip marina and a rebuilt golf course. Homeowners are cautiously optimistic.

💵 The Trades Union Congress wants the minimum wage raised to $350 a week, up $90 from $260, and put on the next House agenda. Labour Minister Pia Glover-Rolle says an increase is “highly likely in the near future” and under study. A small-business advocate wants no change before January 2028.

🚔 Police are investigating a station’s handling of an abuse complaint after a 23-year-old mother alleged officers at East Street South refused her report of an Oct. 1 beating. Two people have been charged with causing harm and pleaded not guilty. Women’s advocates want a “complete overhaul” of how police handle abuse cases.

From Foreign

🚀 Elon Musk is pledging one SpaceX share to every kid in America next year, a day after Anthropic said it will commit 5% of its shares to a public benefit fund. Musk gave no details. AP puts it at about 73 million children and $10.7bn at Friday’s price.

🐛 A pair of critical PHP bugs puts roughly 70% of websites at risk, including WordPress sites, per Morning Brew. AI tools helped find the flaws, which sat undetected for over a decade. Patches landed Oct. 21, and some governments and companies briefly took sites offline to install them.

📱 The iPhone Duo is on sale for $1,999, and early reviews are mixed. The Verge gave it 7/10, calling it one of Apple’s “messiest” first-generation products in a while, while CNET gave it 8.7/10. Apple’s “Pro and Tell” event is Wednesday, with a touchscreen MacBook Pro reportedly expected.

⚖️ Meta has been ordered to pay New Mexico $25 billion after a jury found Facebook misled users about privacy, tied to the Cambridge Analytica data harvesting. Meta says it expects to prevail on appeal. Separately, its shares fell nearly 7% the next day as AI spending pushed free cash flow negative, per CNBC.

🛏️ Airbnb is banning checkout chores. Hosts will generally no longer be able to ask guests to wash dishes, strip beds or take out the trash. The rule takes effect Nov. 20, and repeat offenders risk lower search visibility or suspension. Some hosts are already pushing back in Airbnb’s community forum.

🗳️ Israel votes Tuesday in a close election, days after Trump gave Netanyahu his “Complete and Total Endorsement,” praising his backing in the war on Iran. A Hebron shooting that killed two Israeli soldiers has since prompted a West Bank lockdown, with all crossings closed on election day.

PRESENTED BY: (NOT REALLY BUT HEAR US OUT)

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QUIZ ANSWER

A) West Indian mail

In 1843, the Royal Mail Steam Packet Company made Nassau its distributing point for West Indian mail, briefly improving the colony’s links with the outside world.

How’d you do? Reply to this email, and be honest👀

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LATER IS GREATER

That's all for this week. Check us out on our socials for updates throughout the week.

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Until next time.

— The Bay Street Brief Team