TOP OF THE MORNING!

Welcome to The Bay Street Brief!

BPL doesn’t discriminate, so like many of you we had to gather all the candles we could find and burned through data hot spotting phones and laptops. If that doesn’t deserve a referral nothing will.

Let's get into it.

IN THE MARKETS

Global markets
Asset / Index Last price / Weekly change % YTD return
BISX All-Share
Bahamas 🇧🇸
3,222.7
0.0%
▲ 3.7%
S&P 500
US equities 🇺🇸
7,483.24
+1.7%
▲ 9.3%
Euro Stoxx 600
European equities 🇪🇺
652.8
+2.7%
▲ 10.2%
Nikkei 225
Japan equities 🇯🇵
69,744.07
+0.6%
▲ 38.6%
Hang Seng
Hong Kong equities 🇭🇰
23,350.0
+1.2%
▼ -8.9%
MSCI Emerging Markets
Developing economies 🌎
1,684.2
-1.3%
▲ 19.9%
Brent Crude
Oil per barrel 🛢️
$72.12
+0.2%
▲ 18.5%
Gold
Per oz 🥇
$4,176.94
+2.2%
▼ -3.3%
Bitcoin
Crypto ₿
$62,544.19
+3.9%
▼ -28.6%

Wall Street had a short week (Friday off for the 4th) but still packed in the drama. June's jobs report badly missed expectations — just 57,000 new jobs against the 110,000 everyone was banking on — yet the S&P and Nasdaq climbed anyway, because apparently bad news is still good news when it means the Fed might ease up.

Europe had a better time of it. Cooling inflation and cheaper oil pushed stocks higher across the board, with London's FTSE up 1.4% and Germany surprising everyone with stronger retail sales.

Asia was the mixed bag. Japan's business confidence hit its best level since 2018 even as the yen wobbled on intervention rumours, while China's factories crept back into growth mode.

Local markets
The Leaders
Company Last price / Weekly change % YTD return 52-week range
AML
AML Foods Limited
$10.06
+6.0%
▲ +51.3%
$5.70$10.06
BOB
Bank of the Bahamas
$8.45
+0.6%
▲ +39.4%
$4.50$8.45
CHL
Colina Holdings
$18.00
+5.9%
▲ +22.5%
$12.40$18.00
The Slackers
Company Last price / Weekly change % YTD return 52-week range
BBL
Benchmark Bahamas
$2.18
No change
▼ -21.0%
$2.15$2.76
FBB
Fidelity Bank Bahamas
$13.44
No change
▼ -17.2%
$13.44$17.01
CWCB
Consolidated Water
$5.98
-0.5%
▼ -15.3%
$5.90$7.15

AML Foods is still the one to watch — closing the week at a fresh 52-week high of $10.06 and now up 51.3% for the year. Bank of Bahamas and Colina Holdings are riding shotgun, both sitting near their own highs.

On the flip side, Benchmark Bahamas and Fidelity Bank Bahamas didn't budge all week, and Consolidated Water slipped another half-point, now down 15.3% year-to-date.

THE MAIN THING

Electricity Knocked Out Our Electricity

If you were sitting in the dark yesterday wondering what fresh nonsense this was, here's your answer: lightning hit the Blue Hills Power Station, caused an explosion, and knocked out power all over New Providence.

Rolling blackouts and load shedding have been hitting Nassau for weeks, as a brutal heat wave pushed demand to record levels and exposed a grid that was already struggling. An East Hill Street transmission fault knocked out the northern half of the island earlier in the week. Princess Margaret Hospital lost power to its medical block, including the Dialysis Unit, after generator issues tied to grid fluctuations. And thousands of customers were staring down electricity bills that jumped by hundreds of dollars, with BPL blaming heat driven consumption rather than any rate change.

BPL's explanation for the bills has been consistent all week: same base rate, same fuel charge since the fall, just more air conditioning running longer in the heat. Fair enough on paper. But that argument gets a lot harder to sell to someone who's paid double for a service that's been unreliable for weeks.

Opposition Senator Arinthia Komolafe captured the mood in the Senate this week, telling BPL and Bahamas Grid Company to "get their act together," and pointing out the PLP's own campaign promise of lower electricity costs hasn't matched what people are actually seeing on their bills.

The bottom line: A lightning strike is bad luck. Weeks of outages, an overwhelmed grid, and bills climbing at the same time is a pattern. Both things can be true at once.

BPL says technical teams are working to restore all affected areas, and a customer education push on bills is coming next week via WhatsApp and social media.

WEEKLY QUIZ

I must admit you all are doing much better than I expected with these quizzes.

The team and I are brainstorming ways to reward those of you who take the time to solve these, and maybe make it more interesting for those who don’t. Feel free to shoot over your ideas!

Time for some Bahamian history trivia:

This cruise ship and its layers of old paint turned a small fire into a catastrophic blaze that sank it in the Atlantic on November 13, 1965, killing around 90 people… the deadliest passenger ship disaster in American waters since 1934. The tragedy rewrote international maritime safety law and even inspired a ballad. What was this ship called?

Check the bottom of the newsletter for the answer.

WHAT JUST HAPPENED

Same Summer, Two Very Different Stories

Baha Mar says it's on track to blow past its usual summer slump, with July and August occupancy tracking in the high 80s to low 90s percent. That's after June closed in the low 90s too. Strong Canadian airlift and steady group business are keeping the resort humming, even as the company credits it to travelers wanting "meaningful experiences."

Meanwhile, in the air, Bahamian aviation operators are telling a different story. The Bahamas Association of Air Transport Operators says the industry is stuck in what its president called a "holding pattern," still absorbing jet fuel costs that spiked after the Middle East conflict broke out earlier this year. That's why domestic ticket prices went up as much as 10%, and why operators say they haven't felt meaningful local relief since.

The people who feel this most aren't tourists flying into Nassau. They're Bahamians trying to get to and from the Family Islands, where fuel costs even more because it has to be shipped in after already landing here first. Every stop adds cost, and the traveler pays for it.

Tourism headlines can look great while the people connecting the country island to island run on razor-thin margins. Baha Mar's success doesn't trickle down to a Bahamasair ticket price.

CONCH FRITTERS

From Over Here

🥞 IHOP finally made it to Carmichael Road, and it's not just about pancakes. Bahamas Caribbean Dining added 66 jobs, pushing its workforce to nearly 300, fully Bahamian. Now the real challenge begins: keeping two Nassau locations from stealing each other's Sunday brunch crowd.

🚗 Omega Motors just went upmarket, unveiling two new brands, Omoda and Jaecoo, promising luxury and tech without the luxury price tag. It's another sign Nassau's SUV market keeps growing, giving local drivers more options than ever for their next upgrade.

🏥 Teachers briefly lost their group insurance after Colina suspended coverage for hundreds of government workers, including teachers, police, and customs officers. The PM's office called it administrative and resolved, but BUT president Belinda Wilson says enrollment issues for her members go back to October.

📛 Columbus Primary might not keep its name much longer, with AG Wayne Munroe saying he'd be surprised if it's still called that in a year or two. It's part of a bigger, years-long push to swap colonial-era names for Bahamian ones. Make up your own mind.

URCA fined BPL $30,000 for reporting major outages late on Abaco and Crooked Island, then immediately suspended collecting it for 12 months. BPL says it's tightened its reporting process. So, technically a fine, but not really one. Yet.

From Foreign

🛢️ OPEC+ agreed to raise oil output by another 188,000 barrels per day starting in August, adding supply just as prices fall back to pre-war levels. Brent crude is trading near $72 a barrel, down from over $120 at the peak, as the Strait of Hormuz slowly reopens to tankers.

FIFA sparked a World Cup firestorm after suspending Folarin Balogun's automatic red-card ban so he could play for the USA against Belgium, following a personal call from Trump to FIFA president Gianni Infantino. Belgium called the move "astonishing" and says it breaks FIFA's own rules. Make up your own mind.

👟 Vietnam raided counterfeit warehouses in Ho Chi Minh City, seizing over 23,000 fake Nike, Adidas, Crocs, and Gucci slippers worth roughly $76,000. It's part of a bigger government crackdown after the US branded Vietnam the world's worst offender on IP rights, threatening fresh tariffs if enforcement doesn't improve.

🌧️ Peru declared a state of emergency in nearly 800 districts, about 40% of the country, ahead of expected heavy rains tied to El Niño. The move is meant to fast-track emergency resources and infrastructure protection before flooding hits.

🚩 Hundreds of masked Patriot Front members marched through Washington, D.C. on July 4th, carrying Confederate and U.S. flags while chanting "Reclaim America." Police reported no arrests, but the white nationalist group's holiday demonstration reignited debate over extremism's visibility in mainstream American public life.

PRESENTED BY: (NOT REALLY BUT HEAR US OUT)

Spirit Airlines

In their final days, Spirit Airlines explored every option to keep the planes flying. Acquisitions. Mergers. Even a deal with the White House.

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Your brand could be here. Unlike Spirit, you still have time. Reply to this email to advertise with The Bay Street Brief. 🇧🇸

QUIZ ANSWER

The Yarmouth Castle.

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LATER IS GREATER

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Until next time.

— The Bay Street Brief Team

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